Global View Capital Management



Bear Market Defense

Money Market
Short-Term
Inverse Funds
Gold
Volatility Hedge


Bull Market Offense

Tactical Strategies
US Sectors
Developed International
Emerging Markets
Multi-Asset High Yielding
Rotational Strategies
Global Macro
Global Beta
Long/Short Directional Strategies
Equities
Bonds
Commodities
Gold
Volatility Hedge
Volatility Hedge

For illustrative purposes only. Source:
Global View Capital Management, Ltd.



White house
The White House

Federal Reserve Bank
The Federal Reserve Bank




The biggest risk to
global financial markets
will be the unwinding of
mis-priced assets
when QE ends. The unwinding of QE may be disorderly and volatile. Investors will need a global tactical asset manager navigating through the rout and identifying opportunities.

Global View Capital Management quote

—Dina L. Fliss

President & Chief

Investment Strategist









I bet you didn't know the Fed owns 40% of all Treasuries over 5 years in Maturity.

Global View Capital Management quote

—Robert
    Lenzner

Contributing Editor and Coloumnist, Forbes Magazine














It is clear that interest rates have far more room to go up than down.

Global View Capital Management quote

—Richard
    Ketchum

FINRA Chairman and

Chief Executive





ReConstruct Your Portfolio

Understanding the Impact of Losses


Impact of losses

Source: Calculated by Global View Capital Management.

Disclosure: Information contained in this material is intended solely for informational purposes and is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security; nor to offer investment advice. It is designed to demonstrate the impact of losses to an individual investment portfolio and the return required to recover from those losses.

Understanding the Impact of Losses


  Gain Needed to Breakeven Years Needed to Breakeven
Starting Value Loss $ Loss % Value After Loss Gain $ Gain % 4% 8% 12%
$100,000 $10,000 -10% $90,000 $10,000 11% 2.7 1.4 0.9
$100,000 $20,000 -20% $80,000 $20,000 25% 5.7 2.9 2.0
$100,000 $30,000 -30% $70,000 $30,000 43% 9.1 4.6 3.1
$100,000 $40,000 -40% $60,000 $40,000 67% 13.0 6.6 4.5
$100,000 $50,000 -50% $50,000 $50,000 100% 17.7 9.0 6.1
$100,000 $60,000 -60% $40,000 $60,000 150% 23.4 11.9 8.1
$100,000 $70,000 -70% $30,000 $70,000 233% 30.7 15.6 10.6
$100,000 $80,000 -80% $20,000 $80,000 400% 41.0 20.9 14.2

Source: Calculated by Global View Capital Management.

Disclosure:Information contained in this material is intended solely for informational purposes and is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security; nor to offer investment advice. It is designed to demonstrate the impact that losses have to an individual investment portfolio and the length of time required to recover from those losses.

The Impact of Quantitative Easing (QE)
on National Debt

Since 2008, the Federal Reserve has embarked upon one of the most radical and controversial monetary schemes in history known as Quantitative Easing. In simple terms, QE is Fed speak for "printing money." As students of monetary history, we at GVCM never bought into the experiment. Why? Because printing money is not wealth creation, it's wealth redistribution. Every dollar the Fed prints is booked to our national debt. The consequence is that US national debt levels are so high they will never be able to be paid unless monetized (devaluating the US Dollar) to pay for it.


Recent studies show that the short-term unintended consequences are HUGE misallocations of capital in the US Treasury Bond market, the US Stock market, the repression of normal interest rates and idle excess reserves (printed money) sitting on the books of major global banks.


Study One - FRBSF Economic Letter

Study Two - Finance and Economics Discussion Series


US NATIONAL DEBT & DEBT CEILING

1980-2015

Debt ceiling chart

Source: Calculated by GVCM using data http://www.whitehouse.gov and www.usdebtclock.org.


QE and the S&P 500

S&P 500 Performance during Fed Open Market Committee Action

March 9, 2009 through July 1, 2015


S&P 500 Chart

Source: Calculated by GVCM using data from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Disclosure:
Date range for QE 1 (11/25/08 to 3/31/2010. The S&P 500 on 03/09/2009 (676.53)
Date range for QE 2 (11/03/2010 to 6/30/2011). The S&P 500 on 11/03/2010 (1,197.96)
Date range for Operation Twist-1 (9/21/2011 to 6/30/2012) Extended to 12/31/2012
Date range for QE 4 (1/01/2013 to 10/15/2014) The S&P 500 0n1/01/2013 (1,462.42)

QE and US Treasury Bond Market

Fed owns $4.4 Trillion of US 10-Yr T-Notes, Equal to 1/3 of Market

Jan. 2003 through Aug. 2015


QE Treasury

Source: Calculated by GVCM using data from:
http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/soma/sysopen_accholdings.php.

S&P 500 Index

December 1997 through September 2015


QE Treasury

Source: Calculated by GVCM using data from:
http://www.us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500.

Impact of Interest Rate on Bond Prices

Hypothetical


  Change in Interest Rate
  1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00%
Impact on Bond Prices
2 Year Treasury -1.41% -2.80% -4.16% -5.72% -7.08%
5 Year Treasury -4.26% -8.31% -12.17% -16.02% -19.56%
10 Year Treasury -8.23% -15.74% -22.53% -28.69% -34.34%
30 Year Treasury -17.44% -30.04% -41.72% -50.27% -57.02%

Disclosure: Calculated by GVCM using data from Bloomberg.

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Disclosures:

Global View Capital Management is an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Corporate Headquarters: Stone Ridge III Business Center, Suite 350, Waukesha, WI 53188  |  262.650.1030.


The content of this website is not meant as investment advice and is subject to change. No part of this website may be reproduced in any manner without the express written permission of Global View Capital Management, LTD. Information contained herein is derived from sources we believe to be reliable, however, we do not represent that this information is complete or accurate and it should not be relied upon as such. All opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. This information is prepared for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may view this page. Please contact Global View Capital Management, LTD/Global View Capital Advisors, LTD. to get in contact with an Investment Advisor Representative, if you are in need of financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. You should note that security values may fluctuate and that each security’s price or value may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Global View Capital Management, LTD

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Waukesha, WI 53188
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